MATH 220 — Probability & Statistics

Mathematics & Science · 4 units · Required core — everyone takes it

The Two Registers

• Catalog register: Probability theory, distributions, inference, regression.
• Teaching frame: Forecasting and games — swell models, prediction markets, poker, A/B tests. The native mathematics of the AI age.

Outcomes Served

• Judgment
• Command of Intelligence

What This Course Is About

Uncertainty is the native condition of the AI age, and this is its grammar: forecasts, bets, base rates, and the discipline of being scored on what you predicted.

The Made Thing

A forecast with skin in the game — made, tracked, and scored in public.

The Daily Path

One session per course day — each one designed to look easy and pull you in. This course is at syllabus stage — the daily path is not yet written, so it is not yet live.

• Day 01 — to be written
• Day 02 — to be written
• Day 03 — to be written
• Day 04 — to be written
• Day 05 — to be written
• Day 06 — to be written
• Day 07 — to be written
• Day 08 — to be written
• Day 09 — to be written
• Day 10 — to be written
• Day 11 — to be written
• Day 12 — to be written
• Day 13 — to be written
• Day 14 — to be written
• Day 15 — to be written

Every course here is built to one standard: it ends in a made thing you can show, and it ships day by day.